Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 21.808314 25.125967 28.703433 32.838612 37.477116 42.509901 48.373674
2025-09-28 15.656476 20.145075 25.443968 32.116059 40.243848 49.771690 61.729614
2025-10-05 13.259003 18.567262 25.277343 34.276550 45.910197 60.311388 79.337682
2025-10-12 11.510737 17.311822 25.074946 36.037864 50.902928 70.113751 96.529497
2025-10-19 9.787450 15.717674 24.075533 36.435968 53.915799 77.366923 110.739323
2025-10-26 8.393145 14.324156 23.090552 36.608647 56.457460 83.980804 124.340304
2025-11-02 7.121968 12.892021 21.818637 36.139051 57.917015 89.051034 135.975548
2025-11-09 6.045330 11.586921 20.544630 35.464750 58.914510 93.402328 146.712266
2025-11-16 5.133073 10.405454 19.299030 34.655702 59.557802 97.170293 156.696710
2025-11-23 4.283510 9.193415 17.839592 33.315242 59.196178 99.318548 164.285855
2025-11-30 3.953049 8.885413 17.876215 34.434360 62.805307 107.690460 181.668939
2025-12-07 3.659297 8.601133 17.912739 35.533336 66.423262 116.232599 199.693150
2025-12-14 3.150281 7.837402 17.045589 35.070053 67.573936 121.223642 212.946398
2025-12-21 2.650291 7.010032 15.965555 34.132658 67.875751 124.934318 224.526221
2025-12-28 2.545358 7.036725 16.561486 36.377825 73.954678 138.575398 252.995443
2026-01-04 2.408012 6.963169 16.939145 38.225881 79.430547 151.478827 280.861413
2026-01-11 2.160884 6.578560 16.613423 38.643746 82.279006 159.998576 301.754165
2026-01-18 1.926303 6.178304 16.197687 38.825234 84.670885 167.817911 321.791236
2026-01-25 1.675247 5.681594 15.496634 38.331193 85.701582 173.237218 337.889276
2026-02-01 1.444966 5.190293 14.736726 37.621748 86.230749 177.740658 352.545072
2026-02-08 1.238548 4.718918 13.954275 36.770412 86.386926 181.529050 366.056149
2026-02-15 1.033915 4.200365 12.974915 35.359580 85.263083 182.822210 375.064343
2026-02-22 0.971214 4.121628 13.110288 36.537477 89.632175 194.758940 404.080277